Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 9.806332 11.242002 12.770691 14.514786 16.444573 18.509543 20.881204
2025-02-23 7.327221 9.209358 11.357635 13.971992 17.047405 20.529828 24.749764
2025-03-02 5.675330 7.779469 10.340651 13.643230 17.741061 22.609082 28.775369
2025-03-09 4.583497 6.815708 9.698760 13.614347 18.704388 25.003433 33.283282
2025-03-16 3.688222 5.939377 9.017614 13.406613 19.360513 27.003677 37.383218
2025-03-23 3.260121 5.624537 9.018511 14.057305 21.134067 30.488940 43.523499
2025-03-30 2.775282 5.138222 8.700353 14.204137 22.198406 33.065964 48.579002
2025-04-06 2.232089 4.462401 8.005608 13.713839 22.296812 34.299829 51.853057
2025-04-13 1.774550 3.840544 7.302160 13.115177 22.155152 35.145444 54.582731
2025-04-20 1.603403 3.688756 7.326726 13.627252 23.669819 38.386737 60.771099
2025-04-27 1.538844 3.722317 7.658176 14.644565 25.998917 42.895160 68.922514
2025-05-04 1.438028 3.666911 7.823684 15.390952 27.934267 46.889726 76.461731
2025-05-11 1.242433 3.392349 7.580083 15.449873 28.818223 49.407379 82.029435
2025-05-18 1.031428 3.041884 7.151435 15.146100 29.088351 50.998075 86.282858
2025-05-25 0.865091 2.754823 6.804148 14.947533 29.506747 52.821017 90.939740
2025-06-01 0.748340 2.559242 6.610528 15.004297 30.345411 55.320922 96.696631
2025-06-08 0.629436 2.328638 6.311621 14.829759 30.762666 57.151288 101.466314
2025-06-15 0.593890 2.315806 6.478069 15.564810 32.815778 61.702008 110.630719
2025-06-22 0.523545 2.186632 6.368967 15.741439 33.870630 64.645455 117.333672
2025-06-29 0.421645 1.932277 5.935829 15.218641 33.611695 65.383960 120.522170
2025-07-06 0.331135 1.681471 5.468855 14.573082 33.071113 65.605981 122.857965
2025-07-13 0.308504 1.658403 5.563265 15.133248 34.838298 69.826336 131.844452
2025-07-20 0.310219 1.726091 5.898134 16.240886 37.704903 76.028801 144.249395